MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MVV Maastricht v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
MVV Maastricht 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II nicked a narrow win over MVV Maastricht 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We leaned MVV Maastricht at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.34 to 1.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for MVV Maastricht against 2.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
MVV Maastricht 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 43%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar II 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.