MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
1-3
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
3-1
HT 1-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-3
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II nicked a narrow win over MVV Maastricht 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day AZ Alkmaar II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 32% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 68%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.34 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II?
MVV Maastricht 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 40%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar II 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.