Vitesse 0-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.55
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.44
X/X
9%
5.61
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.14
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.23/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.3 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
2W-3D-1L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 Passes 226
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
09.04.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
19.01.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOK
18.10.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
22.08.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-2 Vitesse Vitesse HAZ
01.02.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
0-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.63 xG 0.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
287 Passes 196
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over Vitesse 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day ADO Den Haag made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitesse had 56% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 44%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 0.83 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag?

Vitesse 0-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 37%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
14 Mar 2025
22:00 FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior Analysis →
22:00 Emmen vs Utrecht II Analysis →
22:00 Telstar vs Roda Analysis →
22:00 MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 Helmond Sport vs PSV II Analysis →
22:00 Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →