Dordrecht 4-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.54
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
12%
7.74
X/X
10%
5.44
2/1
9%
21.7
2/2
11%
5.49
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.73/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.78
+22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.8 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-0D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
290 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
16.02.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
17.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.10.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.01.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-2 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
4-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.19 xG 0.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
316 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht swept aside VVV-Venlo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Dordrecht had 58% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 42%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.19 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dordrecht and 1.83 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo?

Dordrecht 4-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 43%, draw 26%, VVV-Venlo 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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