VVV-Venlo 2-3 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.57
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.68
1/2
10%
20.9
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
7%
7.61
X/2
8%
4.93
X/X
15%
5.95
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
19%
2.58
2/X
11%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.1pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.38/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.09
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +58%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.5 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
294 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
17.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.10.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.01.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-2 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
05.09.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-3
AWAY Dordrecht
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past VVV-Venlo 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Dordrecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 38% of the ball to Dordrecht's 62%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.00 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht?

VVV-Venlo 2-3 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 31%, draw 32%, Dordrecht 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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