ADO Den Haag 3-0 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
11%
8.0
X/X
10%
5.47
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.43
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.43/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.40
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.1 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Roda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Roda Roda 2-2 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
18.08.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-3 HT 0-3 Roda Roda HOL2
07.04.2023 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.11.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
21.01.2022 Roda Roda 5-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
24.09.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
3-0
AWAY Roda
2.43 xG 0.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
329 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 3
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag cruised past Roda 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 51% of the ball to Roda's 49%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 2.43 to 0.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ADO Den Haag and 2.00 for Roda.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Roda?

ADO Den Haag 3-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 45%, draw 25%, Roda 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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