Den Bosch 4-2 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.92
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.66
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.39/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.34
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
16.0 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Vitesse
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
27.02.2005 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
10.11.2004 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
25.09.2004 Vitesse Vitesse 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
23.02.2002 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
15.12.2001 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-1 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
4-2
AWAY Vitesse
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch got the better of Vitesse 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 52% of the ball to Vitesse's 48%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Den Bosch and 0.80 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Vitesse?

Den Bosch 4-2 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 44%, draw 26%, Vitesse 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ BTTS No
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