FC Eindhoven 0-3 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.03
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
8%
6.03
X/2
12%
5.25
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
29.0
2/2
23%
3.32
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.41/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.24
-16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.8 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Emmen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.04
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
216 Passes 473
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.02.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
08.12.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.04.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.08.2021 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.10.2020 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
12.01.2018 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-3
AWAY Emmen
0.66 xG 2.11
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
222 Passes 526
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen swept aside FC Eindhoven 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 34% of the ball to Emmen's 66%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.66 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.00 for Emmen.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?

FC Eindhoven 0-3 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 32%, draw 27%, Emmen 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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