Emmen 1-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.29
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.12
X/2
9%
8.7
X/X
15%
5.14
2/1
6%
22.6
2/2
8%
6.49
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.43/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.08
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
26.3 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.54
59% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
462 Passes 233
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.04.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.08.2021 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.10.2020 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
12.01.2018 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
25.08.2017 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
1-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.04 xG 0.58
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
506 Passes 162
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 20
46 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emmen vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen and FC Eindhoven couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Emmen had 71% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 29%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.04 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emmen and 1.33 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Emmen vs FC Eindhoven?

Emmen 1-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Emmen 45%, draw 29%, FC Eindhoven 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Emmen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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