VVV-Venlo vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VVV-Venlo v PSV II — Team-Based Signals
VVV-Venlo vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
PSV II
HOL2
1-4
HT 1-1
PSV II
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-0
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
VVV-Venlo 3-2 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics
VVV-Venlo squeezed past PSV II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, VVV-Venlo had 44% of the ball to PSV II's 56%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 3.23 to 2.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold VVV-Venlo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.67 for PSV II.
What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs PSV II?
VVV-Venlo 3-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs PSV II?
Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 47%, draw 26%, PSV II 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.