NAC Breda 0-0 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 27% vs market 18.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
16%
4.9
X/2
9%
6.93
X/X
15%
5.23
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
19%
4.55
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -21%
1.10/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.4 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
10.02.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
09.09.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-1 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
11.03.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
20.08.2021 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
28.03.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-1 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
0-0
AWAY De Graafschap
0.37 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
423 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda and De Graafschap played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, NAC Breda had 54% of the ball to De Graafschap's 46%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.37 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NAC Breda and 0.83 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs De Graafschap?

NAC Breda 0-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 40%, draw 26%, De Graafschap 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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