Willem II 1-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb 2024

Willem II
1-1 HT 1-1
Cambuur
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Willem II vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
16%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.1
X/2
8%
9.93
X/X
14%
5.84
2/1
9%
20.9
2/2
9%
7.03
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.85/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.53
+4% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.5 Crosses 15.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Willem II vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
256 Passes 326
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
11.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
10.12.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
21.04.2016 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
06.12.2015 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
17.05.2015 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL

Willem II 1-1 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1-1
AWAY Cambuur
2.33 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
368 Passes 237
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II and Cambuur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Willem II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Willem II had 58% of the ball to Cambuur's 42%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.33 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Willem II and 1.17 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Cambuur?

Willem II 1-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Willem II 51%, draw 24%, Cambuur 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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