MVV Maastricht 6-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb 2024

MVV Maastricht
6-1 HT 3-0
Telstar
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

MVV Maastricht vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
18%
4.83
X/2
12%
6.86
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MVV Maastricht v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.91/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.21
+26% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.4 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

MVV Maastricht vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Telstar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.38 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
306 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Telstar Telstar 2-1 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
12.05.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
24.01.2023 Telstar Telstar 5-3 HT 3-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
14.01.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-1 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
05.09.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-0 HT 3-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
26.02.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2

MVV Maastricht 6-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
6-1
AWAY Telstar
3.65 xG 0.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
337 Passes 370
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht cruised past Telstar 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 48% of the ball to Telstar's 52%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 3.65 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.67 for Telstar.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Telstar?

MVV Maastricht 6-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 44%, draw 27%, Telstar 30%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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