Cambuur 1-2 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

Cambuur
1-2 HT 0-1
Volendam
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Cambuur vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.93
2-3 Goals
33%
2.06
4-5 Goals
30%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
8%
5.21
X/2
11%
6.88
X/X
12%
6.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.2
2/2
19%
4.07
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.3pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.08/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.36
-38% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
23.3 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Cambuur vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Volendam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
380 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
08.01.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 0-3 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL
02.04.2021 Volendam Volendam 0-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
08.01.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
10.01.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.09.2019 Volendam Volendam 0-4 HT 0-3 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

Cambuur 1-2 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
1-2
AWAY Volendam
1.30 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
373 Passes 202
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam edged past Cambuur 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Volendam found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 61% of the ball to Volendam's 39%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cambuur and 1.33 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Volendam?

Cambuur 1-2 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 38%, draw 26%, Volendam 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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