AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.42
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
13%
6.93
X/2
8%
5.07
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
20%
2.86
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.28/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.43
+36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
12.0 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
10.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 2-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
23.01.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
12.08.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
29.04.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
13.08.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2-3
AWAY Helmond Sport
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Helmond Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 61% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 39%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.33 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport?

AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 36%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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