Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Helmond Sport v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Helmond Sport 3-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport had too much for AZ Alkmaar II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Helmond Sport as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came home.
Under the surface, AZ Alkmaar II saw more of the ball, 69% to 31%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.32 to 1.45.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Helmond Sport against 1.33 for AZ Alkmaar II.
Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
Helmond Sport 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 45%, draw 25%, AZ Alkmaar II 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.