FC Eindhoven 3-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.12
X/2
8%
9.26
X/X
6%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
11%
6.73
2/X
8%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.51/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.37
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.3 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.33 xG 0.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 355
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-5 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.04.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
07.11.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.01.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
05.11.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-6 HT 0-4 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
12.05.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
3-0
AWAY Utrecht II
1.64 xG 0.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
287 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven ran out comfortable winners over Utrecht II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 42% of the ball to Utrecht II's 58%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.64 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.67 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II?

FC Eindhoven 3-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 51%, draw 23%, Utrecht II 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
11 Mar 2024
22:00 Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht Analysis →
22:00 PSV II vs Groningen Analysis →
22:00 Emmen vs FC Oss Analysis →
22:00 De Graafschap vs Ajax II Analysis →