De Graafschap vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
De Graafschap v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
De Graafschap 0-2 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax II saw off De Graafschap 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had De Graafschap at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ajax II saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.67 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for De Graafschap against 1.83 for Ajax II.
De Graafschap vs Ajax II Result & Final Score
De Graafschap 0 - 2 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
De Graafschap vs Ajax II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 66%, draw 17%, Ajax II 16%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.