Emmen 0-1 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Mar 2024

Emmen
0-1 HT 0-1
FC Oss
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Emmen vs FC Oss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
8%
12.25
X/X
10%
6.35
2/1
9%
21.15
2/2
10%
9.18
2/X
8%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v FC Oss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.57/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.48
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.0 Crosses 17.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Emmen vs FC Oss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
456 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
04.02.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.10.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
12.03.2018 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 2-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.10.2017 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
17.03.2017 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2

Emmen 0-1 FC Oss — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-1
AWAY FC Oss
1.30 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
473 Passes 191
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emmen vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss edged past Emmen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Emmen had 66% of the ball to FC Oss's 34%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.30 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Emmen.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Emmen and 0.83 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Emmen vs FC Oss?

Emmen 0-1 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Emmen 51%, draw 25%, FC Oss 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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