AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
1-3
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
3-1
HT 1-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-3
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht edged past AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day MVV Maastricht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 64% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured AZ Alkmaar II.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.00 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht?
AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 38%, draw 27%, MVV Maastricht 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.