AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
AZ Alkmaar II v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht found just enough to beat AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
We leaned AZ Alkmaar II at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%) landed.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 64% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.17 — by the quality of chances, AZ Alkmaar II deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.00 for MVV Maastricht.
AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Result & Final Score
AZ Alkmaar II 2 - 3 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 43%, draw 24%, MVV Maastricht 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.