Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0-2 HT 0-1
Beijing Guoan
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.3
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
10%
15.45
X/1
8%
9.86
X/2
11%
4.0
X/X
8%
5.63
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
32%
2.1
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Beijing Guoan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 60%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
0.68/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.15
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -42%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
16.0 Crosses 22.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.17 xG 1.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 517
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-5 HT 0-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
23.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-2 HT 3-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
25.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
05.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
28.09.2020 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-0 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNSL
27.08.2020 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 Beijing Guoan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.09 xG 1.75
27% Ball Possession 73%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
169 Passes 639
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 27% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 73%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 3.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 25%, draw 24%, Beijing Guoan 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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