Tianjin Teda 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.5
X/1
15%
3.77
X/2
12%
10.7
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
7%
8.96
2/X
4%
16.6
Value flag · 1/X at 15.5 — our 12% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.41/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.44
-4% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.2 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.16
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
330 Passes 204
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
07.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
1-1
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.41 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
283 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda and Nantong Zhiyun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tianjin Teda at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 51% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.41 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.00 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Tianjin Teda 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 48%, draw 28%, Nantong Zhiyun 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tianjin Teda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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