Kelty Hearts 0-5 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Kelty Hearts
0-5 HT 0-3
Hamilton
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
48%
1.89
4-5 Goals
19%
2.94
6+ Goals
7%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 26% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.81/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.28
-25% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hamilton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
25.11.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKK
12.08.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton cruised past Kelty Hearts 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton?

Kelty Hearts 0-5 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 25%, draw 29%, Hamilton 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5
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