Coalville Town 1-1 Long Eaton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
79%
-16.9pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coalville Town EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 11%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
2.42/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.86
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
472 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coalville Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Long Eaton United
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2023 Long Eaton United 0-6 HT 0-3 Coalville Town Coalville Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Coalville Town vs Long Eaton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coalville Town and Long Eaton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Coalville Town at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Coalville Town vs Long Eaton United?

Coalville Town 1-1 Long Eaton United in the England - Non League Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coalville Town vs Long Eaton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coalville Town win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Coalville Town 63%, draw 19%, Long Eaton United 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coalville Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coalville Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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