Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.0pp
16%
Draw
22%
-5.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.05/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.79
+16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tiverton Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
07.10.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town FAK
30.09.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-3 HT 2-2 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
15.10.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
23.04.2022 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-0 HT 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
11.09.2021 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine and Tiverton Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Supermarine at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Supermarine had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 1.17 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town?

Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 52%, draw 16%, Tiverton Town 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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