Etoile Carouge 3-3 Cham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cham EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.34/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.74
+16% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Cham
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
3 Corners 3
26.08.2023 Cham Cham 2-4 HT 0-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 1-0 Cham Cham İSV1Y
23.10.2022 Cham Cham 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
27.11.2021 Cham Cham 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
3-3
AWAY Cham
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Cham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Cham shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 73% of the ball to Cham's 27%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.25 for Cham.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Cham?

Etoile Carouge 3-3 Cham in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Cham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 47%, draw 20%, Cham 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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