Lugano II 1-3 St. Gallen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.3pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen II EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
1-3
AWAY St. Gallen II
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs St. Gallen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen II got the better of Lugano II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Gallen II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lugano II had 47% of the ball to St. Gallen II's 53%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs St. Gallen II?

Lugano II 1-3 St. Gallen II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs St. Gallen II?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 33%, draw 21%, St. Gallen II 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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