Basel 1-2 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

Basel
1-2 HT 0-1
Lausanne Sports
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Basel vs Lausanne Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
9%
4.8
X/2
16%
6.4
X/X
9%
4.54
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.62
2/X
11%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Lausanne Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.75/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.36
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.6 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Basel vs Lausanne Sports Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 1.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
13.08.2023 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
08.05.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
19.02.2022 Basel Basel 3-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
05.12.2021 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
22.08.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-2 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV

Basel 1-2 Lausanne Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-2
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.33 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports edged past Basel 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Lausanne Sports made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Basel had 61% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 39%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.33 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Basel and 1.33 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Basel 1-2 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Basel 36%, draw 27%, Lausanne Sports 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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