Servette 2-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.46
X/2
11%
7.78
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
12%
5.4
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -22%
1.95/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.49
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
25.3 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
232 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
12.08.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
29.04.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.02.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
23.10.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
17.07.2022 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
2-0
AWAY St. Gallen
2.58 xG 2.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
259 Passes 310
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 38
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Servette vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette got the better of St. Gallen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Servette had 46% of the ball to St. Gallen's 54%, shots finished 21-20, expected goals 2.58 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Servette and 1.00 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Servette vs St. Gallen?

Servette 2-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Servette 48%, draw 24%, St. Gallen 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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