Montevarchi Calcio 1-1 Sporting Trestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
7.18
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
41%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
11%
+21.1pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.8pp
41%
Away Win
70%
-28.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevarchi Calcio The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Trestina The Market 75%
+71% / +71% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
199 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Montevarchi Calcio vs Sporting Trestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevarchi Calcio and Sporting Trestina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Trestina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Montevarchi Calcio vs Sporting Trestina?

Montevarchi Calcio 1-1 Sporting Trestina in the Italy - Serie D on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevarchi Calcio vs Sporting Trestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Trestina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montevarchi Calcio 32%, draw 27%, Sporting Trestina 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Trestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Trestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTD More Italy - Serie D
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