Bahlinger SC 0-0 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.48/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.06
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
29.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-0 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahlinger SC
0-0
AWAY SGV Freiberg
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC and SGV Freiberg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Bahlinger SC had 45% of the ball to SGV Freiberg's 55%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahlinger SC and 1.33 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs SGV Freiberg?

Bahlinger SC 0-0 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 33%, draw 29%, SGV Freiberg 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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