Fortuna Köln 2-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
0.97/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.77
-41% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
23.10.2021 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Fortuna Köln made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Köln and 0.67 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Fortuna Köln 2-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 37%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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