Holstein Kiel II 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.64/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.82
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +84%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 3-3 HT 2-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.09.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
18.10.2020 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel got the better of Holstein Kiel II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Drochtersen / Assel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.17 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Holstein Kiel II 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 39%, draw 26%, Drochtersen / Assel 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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