Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.97/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.35
+16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
12.05.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
31.01.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
13.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
13.10.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
19.09.2020 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
1-1
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig and Chemnitzer FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotive Leipzig at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotive Leipzig had 47% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 53%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.50 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?

Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 45%, draw 30%, Chemnitzer FC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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