Dynamo Dresden U19 1-0 St. Pauli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-8.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-62% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden U19
1-0
AWAY St. Pauli U19
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden U19 squeezed past St. Pauli U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden U19 had 35% of the ball to St. Pauli U19's 65%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Dynamo Dresden U19 1-0 St. Pauli U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden U19 26%, draw 31%, St. Pauli U19 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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