Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -26%
1.33/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.36
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Almagro
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
30.04.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
02.08.2015 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 3-2 HT 3-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
21.03.2015 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
07.02.2015 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1-1
AWAY Almagro
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros and Almagro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 35% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes Caseros had 56% of the ball to Almagro's 44%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.75 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Almagro?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 40%, draw 35%, Almagro 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
2 Mar 2024
23:00 All Boys vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
23:00 Agropecuario Argentino vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
23:00 Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado Analysis →