Tristan Suarez 2-2 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.45/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.65
+20% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alvarado
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
05.03.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 3-3 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tristan Suarez
2-2
AWAY Alvarado
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez and Alvarado shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tristan Suarez had 59% of the ball to Alvarado's 41%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado?

Tristan Suarez 2-2 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 40%, draw 28%, Alvarado 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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