Al Nasr 1-0 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 2 Mar 2024

Al Nasr
1-0 HT 1-0
Baniyas SC
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 26%
-22% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.62/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.51
-34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
24.5 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
401 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 4-2 HT 2-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
11.03.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
16.10.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.03.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
29.09.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
12.03.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr squeezed past Baniyas SC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baniyas SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nasr and 2.00 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC?

Al Nasr 1-0 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 47%, draw 23%, Baniyas SC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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