Al Wahda 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.23
2-3 Goals
41%
2.09
4-5 Goals
28%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 33%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.02/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.66
-35% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.8 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.86 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
20.10.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
25.08.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
18.04.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.11.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
21.05.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
3-2
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
0.79 xG 1.98
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 14
264 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda edged past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Al Wahda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Wahda had 41% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 59%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.79 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Wahda and 1.17 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Wahda 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 36%, draw 24%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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