Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Lierse Kempenzonen
3-1 HT 1-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lierse Kempenzonen v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
420 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
2.24 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 283
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen got the better of Boussu Dour Borinage 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lierse Kempenzonen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 47% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 53%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.24 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 34%, draw 31%, Boussu Dour Borinage 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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