Lommel United 4-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.50/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.35
+17% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.7 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Liege
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 1.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
571 Passes 227
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-1 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
4-1
AWAY RFC Liege
2.18 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
394 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United ran out comfortable winners over RFC Liege 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Lommel United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lommel United had 56% of the ball to RFC Liege's 44%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.18 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs RFC Liege?

Lommel United 4-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 39%, draw 25%, RFC Liege 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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