OH Leuven 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Mar 2024

OH Leuven
0-2 HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
1/X
8%
17.35
X/1
11%
12.2
X/2
16%
3.73
X/X
8%
6.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.85
2/X
7%
16.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.19/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.10
-21% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
15.8 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.78 xG 2.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
21.01.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
01.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-3 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
11.03.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-4 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
26.11.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
21.02.2020 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-5 HT 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL2

OH Leuven 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
0-2
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.50 xG 1.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 298
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise beat OH Leuven 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OH Leuven had 48% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.50 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for OH Leuven and 3.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

OH Leuven 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 22%, draw 23%, Union Saint-Gilloise 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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