CRB 0-2 ASA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Alagoano, 2 Mar 2024

CRB
0-2 HT 0-2
ASA
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.4pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY ASA EU Bookmakers 23%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.67
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
5W-0D-1L
AWAY ASA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 ASA ASA BRALA
01.04.2023 ASA ASA 0-2 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BRALA
01.02.2023 ASA ASA 1-2 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BRALA
14.04.2022 ASA ASA 0-2 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BRALA
09.04.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 1-0 ASA ASA BRALA
09.03.2022 CRB CRB 1-4 HT 0-2 ASA ASA BRALA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
0-2
AWAY ASA
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs ASA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASA got the better of CRB 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CRB at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CRB had 60% of the ball to ASA's 40%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CRB and 1.00 for ASA.

What was the final score of CRB vs ASA?

CRB 0-2 ASA in the Brazil - Alagoano on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs ASA?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CRB 48%, draw 23%, ASA 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CRB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BRALA More Brazil - Alagoano
2 Mar 2024
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