Coruripe 1-0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Alagoano, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruripe EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro Arapiraca EU Bookmakers 70%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruripe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2023 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Cruzeiro Arapiraca 1-2 HT 0-1 Coruripe Coruripe BRALA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruripe
1-0
AWAY Cruzeiro Arapiraca
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruripe squeezed past Cruzeiro Arapiraca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Cruzeiro Arapiraca carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coruripe had 53% of the ball to Cruzeiro Arapiraca's 47%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca?

Coruripe 1-0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca in the Brazil - Alagoano on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro Arapiraca win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Coruripe 20%, draw 22%, Cruzeiro Arapiraca 58%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro Arapiraca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro Arapiraca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BRALA More Brazil - Alagoano
2 Mar 2024
22:00 CRB vs ASA Analysis →