B93 Kopenhag 3-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.08
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
6%
11.7
X/1
18%
5.39
X/2
13%
6.76
X/X
10%
4.95
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
6%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
0.93/2.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.46
-52% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
9.2 Crosses 17.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME B93 Kopenhag
1W-0D-0L
AWAY HB Koge
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4.47 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 5
389 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 5
11.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-7 HT 1-2 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME B93 Kopenhag
3-1
AWAY HB Koge
2.74 xG 2.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
449 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH B93 Kopenhag vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

B93 Kopenhag beat HB Koge 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; B93 Kopenhag found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, B93 Kopenhag had 54% of the ball to HB Koge's 46%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.74 to 2.05.

What was the final score of B93 Kopenhag vs HB Koge?

B93 Kopenhag 3-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for B93 Kopenhag vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated an HB Koge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split B93 Kopenhag 38%, draw 23%, HB Koge 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HB Koge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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