SonderjyskE 0-3 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 28% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
18%
4.31
X/2
7%
9.09
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
12%
6.5
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.77/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.67
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.0 Crosses 21.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
326 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
06.05.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
14.04.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
12.03.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-3 HT 0-2 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
19.09.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-2 HT 2-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
02.11.2018 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-3 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
0-3
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.14 xG 1.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
383 Passes 215
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF cruised past SonderjyskE 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SonderjyskE at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 61% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 39%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.14 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SonderjyskE had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.33 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Vendsyssel FF?

SonderjyskE 0-3 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a SonderjyskE win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 50%, draw 26%, Vendsyssel FF 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (SonderjyskE), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SonderjyskE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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