Delfin 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Mar 2024

Delfin
0-1 HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Delfin v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 52%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.09/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.04
-6% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
216 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
13.7 Crosses 15.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3

Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 1.48
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
150 Passes 429
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.09.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
24.04.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
23.08.2021 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
20.06.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-5 HT 1-2 Delfin Delfin EKVSK

Delfin 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
0-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.48 xG 0.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
116 Passes 281
53% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Delfin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 38% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 62%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.48 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Delfin and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle?

Delfin 0-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Delfin 32%, draw 27%, Independiente Del Valle 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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