Aucas 2-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Mar 2024

Aucas
2-0 HT 1-0
Orense
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.40/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.35
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
17.3 Crosses 15.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Orense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.95 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.06.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
09.07.2022 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.02.2022 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
08.08.2021 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.03.2021 Orense Orense 2-2 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
2-0
AWAY Orense
1.38 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
311 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Aucas vs Orense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aucas beat Orense 2-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 2 Mar 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aucas had 52% of the ball to Orense's 48%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.38 to 0.58.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aucas and 0.67 for Orense.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Orense?

Aucas 2-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aucas 44%, draw 29%, Orense 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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