Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa squeezed past Libertad 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 61% of the ball to Libertad's 39%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.89 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.50 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Libertad?
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 44%, draw 28%, Libertad 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.