KaPa 0-2 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.7
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
50%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.82 — our 50% vs market 48.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.5pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.9pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY SalPa Salo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
21.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.05.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 2-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
25.07.2014 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
31.05.2014 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-2 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
0-2
AWAY SalPa Salo
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo saw off KaPa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; SalPa Salo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KaPa had 55% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 45%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for KaPa and 1.80 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

KaPa 0-2 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykköscup on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KaPa 37%, draw 33%, SalPa Salo 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KaPa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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