Clermont 1-5 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Mar 2024

Clermont
1-5 HT 0-1
Marsilya
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Clermont vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.99
6+ Goals
7%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 30% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.55
1/2
8%
21.4
1/X
11%
15.35
X/1
9%
10.35
X/2
16%
4.02
X/X
12%
5.79
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.04
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.1pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 61%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.12/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.03
-23% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +28%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
16.0 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Clermont vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Marsilya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.51 xG 1.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
313 Passes 511
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
11.02.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
31.08.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 1-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
20.02.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 0-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
31.10.2021 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
26.10.2016 Clermont Clermont 1-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FRLK

Clermont 1-5 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-5
AWAY Marsilya
0.68 xG 2.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 4
374 Passes 505
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya cruised past Clermont 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clermont had 44% of the ball to Marsilya's 56%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.68 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Clermont and 1.33 for Marsilya.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Marsilya?

Clermont 1-5 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Clermont 24%, draw 31%, Marsilya 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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